By Robert H.Reid. Published by John Wiley & Sons, ISBN
0-471-17187-5
1,000 Days that Built the Future of Business
Like most professionals, I try (not always successfully) keep
up to date with trends in the industry. So it may be surprising
to admit that I have recently read a book that is out-of-date.
Even more surprising, when I reveal that the book was published
in early 1997. But not so surprising when I explain that the
subject matter was the World Wide Web, the IT phenomenon that
exploded onto the world in 1993, with the release of a
crash-prone piece of undergraduate software called Mosaic.
Although the sub-title of this book (above) is pretentious
("the future of business" ?? - give me a break !!),
there is no doubt that the Web has been a huge new factor in
business, in IT strategy, and in how information is perceived and
managed.
The Web has also been a huge pioneering area, where small
start-up companies were able (at least for a short time) to
wrong-foot even the mighty Microsoft. Such is the subject of this
book.
Accidental Millionaires
This is not so much a chronological book (after all, it only
spans 3 year in total), as a collection of essays about how
previously unknown people ended up being multi-millionaires
virtually overnight.
Maybe they were the right people in the right place at the
right time. Maybe they (alone among their peers) had the
foresight to see the potential of this new, untested, untried
medium. Or maybe they just got lucky. You can read the book and
decide for yourself.
I must admit that I was carried along by the pace of the book.
I followed every twist and turn of the saga as Marc (".. if
you need to ask his surname, you don't know about the
Web...." ) struggled with NSCA and finally drove back in to
town to persuade his friends to turn down good University jobs
for a new company which had no hope of making any money, even
before it started !.
Then there was Kim Polese, good at doing software demos, who
came across a weird group of progammers writing a run-time system
for linking up washing machines called "Oak". Who would
have imagined that it would have graduated from the "Skunk
Works" to become "Java", to add millions to Sun's
Stock Valuation, and end up with Kim as CEO of Marimba ? Marimba,
by the way, was initially known as a "YAJSU" - Yet
Another Java Start-Up - there were so many Java-related companies
being floated off at the time. The difference with Marimba was
that four of them walked straight out of Sun on the same day, and
into history.
It wasn't all success, though. How many people think that VRML
is "the new way forward" ? Yet Marke Pesce was heading
for even greater success than Netscape. So what went wrong ? The
book can hardly answer this. The final chapters on other
companies like I/PRO and Wired have still to be written. In fact,
this book can only give a glimpse of the first beginnings.
You are left speculating - is there another, yet-undiscovered
- Yahoo ! or Netscape, out there, waiting to hit the Web with a
bright new idea ? Probably there is, and equally probably it
would be led by a 20-something degree-educated "kid"
with a bright idea, lots of enthusiasm, and the ability to
surround himself (or herself) with clever people, some of whom
have money to invest.
Common Theme - Geeks v. Suits
Almost by accident, you begin to spot a trend. The phrase
"they needed a business plan" pops up time and again.
For many people (with the possible exception of Halsey Minor of
CNET), it appears that they set up business with a combination of
technical enthusiasm and some half-expressed instinct that
"there is money to be made here, somehow".
Yahoo ! (also known initially as "Dave & Jerry's
Guide to the World-Wide-Web") is a case in point. Apart from
genuine enthusiasm for their "indexing system", they
just worked on the assumption that "more hits were better
than less", and that somehow, some day, they would work out
how to make money from this thing that was beginning to dominate
their lives.
The answer, in the end, was Advertising, which is where I/PRO
and other companies begin to get involved, where
"Banners" and "click-through" rates began to
take over from boyish enthusiasm.
What ? No Amazon.com ?
I had expected to see the famous "amazon.com"
included in this list of essays. But apart from a brief mention,
there is no in-depth study on this book-selling enterprise that
is beginning to pioneer the concept of "e-commerce".
Maybe because the book was written in 1996, the author had not
yet anticipated the huge wave of interest in electronic sales,
culminating in even IBM advertising "E-" numbers
nationally.
Also missing, except as a side-reference, was Microsoft
themselves, and the huge battles over "thin clients",
and the Windows Internet Explorer.
It's hard to realise that a few years ago most of us had no
idea what the web was, let alone that Microsoft would about-turn
it's marketing focus so quickly as it did in the famous
"Pearl Harbour" announcement - "from now on,
everything we do will be internet-enabled" !
The fact is that the web is changing so fast, and fortunes are
made and lost so quickly, that it is very hard for anyone to keep
track of the current trends.
The Web According to the USA
This is a very US-centric book. In fact, the world appears to
exist in a continuum from Seattle, WA, to San Jose, CA. I suppose
that this is fair. There are so many start-ups and technical
breakthroughs which have been based around the US west coast. The
area is full of good technical people (some of whom leave large
companies, others get head-hunted) and many rich venture
capitalists who are keen to fund pre-IPO start-ups with the
prospect of 6-times return on revenue when (or if) they finally
get a business plan together.
But it is surprising to find that while the early days of
ARPAnet is mentioned, the author fails to realise (or maybe just
fails to acknowledge) that the Europeans had been linking
computers together years earlier. Tim Berners-Lee, the designer
of much of the web's protocols, gets a minor mention.
Despite this bias, the book is excellent reading, whether you
are a prospective millionaire-techie, a
venture-capitalist-businessman, a student of social history,
someone who is intrigued by "what is this web thing ?".
It's a technical adventure story, the '90's equivalent of
"Soul of a New Machine"
Get this book, and read it quickly.
Before you have finished it, the Web will have changed again.
Book Reviewed by Dennis Adams in December 1998.